Please note that Capital Advisors Group's research is intended for institutional investors only.
As we enter the second decade of the new century, the world financial system has just emerged from a near death experience and embarked on a new journey of redefining itself. Having witnessed the subprime meltdown, the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, and the collapse of the Reserve Primary money market fund, corporate cash investment professionals are faced with the same task of redefining their investment choices, strategies and expectations. This paper attempts to point out several recent developments that will likely shape the new cash investment landscape for years to come.
The concurrent use of commingled and separate accounts may help in optimizing corporate cash management. In corporate cash management, separate account management has a limited following - about 20% vs. 76% in money funds and 22% in other funds. Six Advantages of Separately Managed Accounts: 1. Tailored Risk Management 2. Transparency 3. Higher Return Potential 4. Free from “Hot Money” 5. Income and Capital Gains Management 6. Versatile Reporting Investments in time and research in a separate account relationship may bring just rewards in times of uncertainty.
On June 24, 2009, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced the long-anticipated proposed amendments to the 2a-7 rule that regulates money market mutual funds. The proposed changes were prompted by the extraordinary events in the money fund industry that took place after the Reserve Primary Fund’s net asset value (NAV) dropped below a constant dollar ($1.00) per share last fall. We do agree that the proposed changes will make money funds marginally safer. However, we feel this proposal did not address the fundamental issue of preventing a run on the funds. As institutional cash investors, we also fear that, by allowing funds to halt redemptions without advanced notice, the usefulness of the funds as cash management vehicles may be significantly diminished. As part of the ongoing dialogue of making the funds safer, we have several of our own proposals that we think will be beneficial to institutional money fund investors.
At the start of the “teens” decade, we are now faced with a new investment landscape, much of which is the result of globally coordinated efforts to bring economies and markets back from the abyss. As credit investors, we are constantly on the lookout for hotspots that may present risk to the prudent cash investor. Here, we discuss four emerging investment themes and share our thoughts on how to manage them.
As risk averse cash investors slowly move away from an aggressively conservative strategy, we take a look at two developing trends that investors may be considering and some potential pitfalls - Bank Deposit Accounts & Prime Money Market Funds.
We set out to answer 10 of the most common questions related to investment policy statement writing for cash portfolios. In doing so, we will provide a number of peer group data comparisons to further add helpful insight into the process.
Financial executives often consider liquidity as a major investment objective for their excess cash accounts. Few, however, have a firm grasp of what liquidity means beyond daily access to a money market fund. The Top 10 Liquidity Factors may provide useful tools during the security selection process. Additionally, investors may benefit from the Six Steps to Better Liquidity in portfolio construction decisions.
Surveying the bruised credit landscape, we think the pendulum of "irrational exuberance" has swung from excessive greed to extreme fear. Where there is fear, there lies opportunity. Let's look at three bond investment areas that may offer just rewards without comprising safety and liquidity.
The recent growth of web-based portals took the popularity of fund investing to a new level. The events of the past summer, however, brought the argument for separate account management back to the front-burner for many corporate investors. In this paper, we point to a number of advantages of a separately managed account (SMA) relationship to further this discussion. We believe that the right answer is not an "either or" decision, but rather the simultaneous use of both strategies in optimizing cash management solutions for the corporate investor.
There exists a long list of factors that led to the credit market crunch of 2007, including: easy money after years of low interest rates, record corporate profitability, rapid home price appreciation, relaxed mortgage underwriting standards, overextended and speculative home buyers, increased use of derivatives and leverage by investors, perhaps undeserving AAA credit ratings... The list goes on.
In this article, we summarize our observations of increased risk in the cash and money market fund industries into eight broad categories. With the recent market jitters, we hope to remind investors that risk and return are two sides of the same coin. Checking for potholes should not be a one time event, but rather an ongoing exercise while the vehicle is on the road.
Profitable corporations and other taxpaying entities naturally need to consider cash and short-term investments in their overall tax management strategies. From time to time, as shown by empirical and anecdotal evidence, the treasury management community may fail to fully appreciate the tax implications of short-term investment returns.
An inverted yield curve can be damaging to bond investors as it often means lower income potential for bonds with higher interest rate risk. Particularly exposed are corporate cash portfolios with buy-and- hold strategies that derive most, if not all, of their returns from the income component. In this report, we set out to examine previous interest cycles where the yield curve inverted itself, in hopes of learning what to expect in short and long-term interest rate movements for the remainder of the year.
In managing corporate cash portfolios, we are often asked by clients when would be an appropriate time to consider a total return strategy. In most cases, stepping out of a buy-and-hold strategy into the area of total return is not merely a change of mentality or risk appetite. Instead, it is often associated with the life stages of the corporate investor.
As fixed income investors, we are thrilled to see short-term securities yielding above 5% for the first time in five years. Meanwhile, we are equally aware of the risk of locking in today's levels if the Fed continues to raise rates substantially higher. In keeping with our tradition of reviewing today's interest rate environment within a historical context, we set out to observe the time period from three months prior to the Fed's adoption of a neutral monetary policy stance to the beginning of the next easing cycle.
Corporate treasurers frequently make investment decisions based on debt ratings from nationally recognized statistical rating agencies, namely Moody's, Standard & Poor's, and Fitch. This article addresses the credit risks of Auction Rate Securities (ARS) that are not adequately addressed by long-term credit ratings alone in short-term investment selections.
A make-whole call provision should be treated differently from a traditional bond call feature and could be considered as an attractive additional attribute of a bond. The inclusion of the make whole call provision is becoming more common.
In addition to being back by the full faith and credit of the US government, TIPS can be an excellent way for investors to protect the future real purchasing power of their investment. TIPs offer a bond portfolio good diversification and liquidity.
Managing risk remains one of the least understood and most challenging areas of corporate cash management. We summarize the three most common credit related deficiencies in today's corporate cash portfolios: 1) overconfidence in credit ratings; 2) falling victim to non-traditional investments; and 3) insufficiency or misinterpretation of investment policies.
While the institutional money fund has been beneficial to the treasury community as a cash management function, investors’ preconceptions of its perceived safety and liquidity may have hindered their ability to seriously assess all the potential risks. The Reserve Primary Fund’s exposure to Lehman Brothers and subsequent fund industry developments brought to bear many old (and some new) issues among fund managers, regulators and investors. As cash management professionals, we undoubtedly need to address these issues in the context of treasury management and be prepared for potential changes coming our way.
In this study, we will discuss some of the common screening criteria in finding which A and AA-rated corporate issuers may fall prey to private equity firms. Based on these criteria, we also produced two lists, one financial and one non-financial, of likely candidates from which investors can conduct research and apply their own judgment.
In this credit commentary, we share with readers the SEC's findings regarding the tactics that enabled broker-dealers to preserve a "zero" auction failure rate. We also assess the impact of the disciplinary action and proposed regulatory changes for investors in this market, who may hold or are considering holding these "cash" investments in their core portfolio holdings.
This paper seeks to answer the following questions: what institutional money market funds are: why invest in them; whether the funds are really safe; whether they have gotten riskier over the years; and how investors should select a right fund.
Without delving too much into technical details, we will provide a brief introduction to ABCP, highlight some of the common advantages and risks of the traditional programs, and provide a practical guide for ABCP risk assessment. We believe ABCP are legitimate investment vehicles in large corporate treasury accounts due to the depth, liquidity, flexibility, and yield potential of the market. We also think that the wide range of risks among programs requires dedicated credit expertise and regular asset collateral monitoring when investing in ABCP.
The auction rate securities (ARS) market may be on the verge of a systemic meltdown after the recent PriceWaterhouseCoopers' FAS 95 & 115 interpretations of ARS as long-term investments.
This paper analyzes the relative risk and reward characteristics of ABS investments in relation to corporate bonds from the vantage point of a short-duration corporate cash manager. We also offer a highly condensed introduction to the security class and some practical considerations when using ABS in a cash portfolio.
Broker-dealers market Auction Rate Securities (ARS) to corporate clients as yieldier alternative investments to high quality cash management vehicles. While the securities' yield advantage over very short-duration (generally 28 or 35 days) bonds is possible, the brokers often fail to point out the price an investor pays in terms of liquidity given up, opportunities lost along the yield curve, as well as accounting complexity. We examine the seven claims broker- dealers frequently pitch to corporate investors, and the facts about the true risk and reward of ARS.
This August 2008 article explores the legislation that essentially provided Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Home Loan Banks the explicit backing of the U.S. government. Unfortunately, the agencies had to face some difficult times before the government made its strongest move up to that point in the credit crisis to restore confidence in the housing and capital markets.
This is an updated version of our corporate research piece first published in February 2004. It draws new data from recent market and rating agency releases to illustrate potential risk and return benefits of single-A rated bonds over double- A securities. Its primary objective is to help corporate cash portfolios with double-A investment policies to gain some level of comfort with the credit exposure of single-A securities.
Merck's fall from grace highlights the need to address event risk -- a risk that inundates even the most experienced risk managers throughout credit cycles. Here, we offer some perspectives on dealing with this type of risk for corporate cash investors.
The latest debacle at Fannie Mae is perhaps the deadliest in its existence as a Government Sponsored Enterprise (GSE) and could ignite a firestorm that may result in dramatic makeovers at the very heart of the organization. As a corporate treasurer, should you sell your Fannie Mae bonds or should you buy more because the yields are higher? Should you be oblivious of the financial headlines if your goal is to hold your investments to maturity?
Although the standards have evolved over time, the fundamental intent of the CFA Institute remains intact - to provide a fair representation of a manager's discretionary investment capabilities by avoiding cherry-picking "model", or "representative" accounts. Since performance measurement is a very important aspect of investment process, we would like to present a few points that may help to better clarify what it means to be AIMR-PPS compliant.
Corporate treasury managers are frequently confronted with the task of picking the right benchmarks for their cash portfolios. Unlike stocks and long bonds, a market-based index is often too long or too risky for cash investments. Some treasurers resort to comparing "yield" earned on investments on the assumption that it is the only relevant factor in a "buy-and-hold" strategy. We want to offer our take on choosing appropriate benchmarks for corporate cash portfolios.
At first glance, the task of measuring investment returns of corporate cash portfolios seems relatively straightforward, since they most typically invest only in "plain vanilla" securities and have limited numbers of transactions. Treasury practitioners, however, often tell a different tale of performance measurement.
